Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 111.934624 128.148562 146.760278 169.902345 198.183317 231.985201 2.760026e+02
2025-05-04 88.279626 108.272364 133.519007 168.457264 216.747883 283.053741 3.846162e+02
2025-05-11 76.086384 97.651481 126.691776 170.027707 235.644142 336.102399 5.125569e+02
2025-05-18 66.550304 88.260958 118.910089 167.337414 246.119054 378.054316 6.393219e+02
2025-05-25 60.472491 82.496121 114.892307 168.764846 262.407223 433.349631 8.157682e+02
2025-06-01 55.268820 77.169386 110.506253 168.408811 275.067913 485.647311 1.015332e+03
2025-06-08 50.580168 71.985519 105.507896 165.917135 282.936801 530.802937 1.227391e+03
2025-06-15 48.338153 70.283951 105.775291 172.505469 309.686700 626.370202 1.654094e+03
2025-06-22 43.997679 64.765609 98.983493 164.947207 305.490137 647.738770 1.868356e+03
2025-06-29 41.291764 61.652754 95.933830 163.990967 315.339060 708.933468 2.294787e+03
2025-07-06 39.009617 59.027055 93.425024 163.662218 326.519763 778.944269 2.854461e+03
2025-07-13 38.169361 58.755621 95.080478 172.050900 360.841973 935.887844 4.141612e+03
2025-07-20 37.591789 59.062987 98.176041 184.906497 413.280237 1199.070169 7.040632e+03
2025-07-27 35.313011 56.164505 94.883988 183.162609 426.208643 1332.244970 9.656686e+03
2025-08-03 33.652699 54.229019 93.235818 184.914294 450.200745 1535.522580 1.464971e+04
2025-08-10 31.700133 51.581250 89.856399 181.905863 458.683867 1678.508769 2.052872e+04
2025-08-17 30.364015 49.976614 88.432456 183.501772 483.096013 1934.402158 3.395757e+04
2025-08-24 28.977130 48.160697 86.368438 183.103666 500.833567 2179.644834 5.652992e+04
2025-08-31 27.519260 46.097924 83.572380 180.318450 509.212830 2382.109701 9.181432e+04
2025-09-07 26.961902 45.751368 84.453724 187.686332 559.919360 2983.966309 2.881868e+05
2025-09-14 25.294070 43.082745 79.948686 179.234681 543.619816 3018.040563 4.215986e+05
2025-09-21 24.273116 41.650393 78.101436 178.166443 558.691007 3376.505240 1.251952e+06
2025-09-28 23.374754 40.407142 76.571888 177.799243 577.121928 3822.482218 7.578258e+06